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| Titre: | Probabilistic model to forecast earthquakes in the Zemmouri (Algeria) seismoactive area on the basis of moment magnitude scale distribution functions |
| Auteur(s): | Baddari, Kamel
Makdeche, Said
Bellalem, Fouzi |
| Mots-clés: | Prediction
Probabilistic model
Seismic magnitude scale
Zemmouri seismoactive area |
| Date de publication: | 2013 |
| Collection/Numéro: | Acta Geophysica/ Vol.61, N°1 (2013);pp. 60-83 |
| Résumé: | Based on the moment magnitude scale, a probabilistic model was developed to predict the occurrences of strong earthquakes in the seismoactive area of Zemmouri, Algeria. Firstly, the distributions of earthquake magnitudes M i were described using the distribution function F 0(m), which adjusts the magnitudes considered as independent random variables. Secondly, the obtained result, i.e., the distribution function F 0(m) of the variables M i was used to deduce the distribution functions G(x) and H(y) of the variables Y i = Log M 0,i and Z i = M 0,i , where (Y i)i and (Z i)i are independent. Thirdly, some forecast for moments of the future earthquakes in the studied area is given |
| URI/URL: | http://dlibrary.univ-boumerdes.dz:8080/handle/123456789/2510 |
| ISSN: | 18956572 |
| Collection(s) : | Publications Internationales
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